We have an apathetic electorate.
There is a difference.
Most years, we struggle to reach 50% turnout of registered voters on election day; this is what we saw in 2000. 2004 saw almost 60% of registered voters turn out to vote and I predict this year we will cross over 70%.
What does that mean?
Well, first of all it means the polls do not matter. Polls have a metric they call, "likely voters" and each pollster defines it differently - but the one thing they all agree on is that if you did not vote in the last election, you are not likely to vote in this one.
When you have the Obama campaign spreading out across neighborhoods across the nation and registering people to vote for the first time - what do you think happens when pollsters call them?
High Turnout + New Voters + Enthusiasm = Obama +20 in the popular vote and Obama over 350 in the electoral college.
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